THE AEROSOL REPORT
Clifford E Carnicom

This information will now be integrated within the US report page.
Please refer to that page.

CE Carnicom
05/04/01

Date of Report : Wed May 03 2001
Time of Report : 0900 Mountain Daylight Time
Location: Santa Fe NM

The probability, based upon current investigative modeling, that conditions in the southwestern United States (Albuquerque-Santa Fe) are favorable to aerosol operations is now estimated at 29%.

This report is offered for investigative purposes only to the general public, and no guarantees of reliability are stated or implied. It will be provided as circumstances permit. Using the observational history table below in conjunction with this graph, please note the association with increased moisture content and precipitation that is often evident.

A graph of the recent probability history for this same area is as follows:

Actual results are reported according to the following
arbritrary ranking system of observations reported below:

Vapor Trails Only

25

Mixed Vapor and Aerosol

60

Heavy Aerosol Operations

80

Full Cloud Cover - No Visibility

50


OBSERVATIONAL HISTORY TABLE

Date

Location

Weather
ReportTime
(UTC)/
Observation
Time
(Local)

Altitude
/Temp
/DewPoint

Required Relative Humidity from
Model
RHmin
%

Actual
Relative
Humidity
%

Does
Model
Predict Vapor Trail Formation
at Report/
Observation
Time?

Are
Vapor Trails
Visible in
the Sky
at Report/
Observation
Time?

Weather

Notes

041201

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200
0900

34K/
-48.7/
-60.7

28

28

Marginal

NO

Partly Cloudy-
Cumulus

No Traffic Visible

041301

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

34.6K/
-51.7/
-64.7

8

19

YES

YES-Vapor

Clear

Light Traffic

041401

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

36.3K/
-55.7/
-67.7

0

20

YES

YES-Vapor

Clear

Light Traffic

041501

ABQ/
Santa Fe

2400/
1600

37.1K/
-61.3/
-71.3

0

25

YES

YES-Vapor

Clear

Light Traffic

041601

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

36.5K/
-55.3/
-65.8

0

25

YES

YES-Vapor

Clear

Light Traffic

041701

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
1300

37.3K/
-58.1/
-69.1

0

22

YES

YES-Vapor

Clear

Light Traffic

041801

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

36.3K/
-51.6/
-56.6

10

54

YES

Heavy aerosol activities
0830-0930

Clear in AM; Hazy PM

Numerous passes not shown on Flight Explorer-Heavy Traffic/
Vapor trails appearing at 41K-Light Traffic

041901

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
1000

35.1K/
-50.3/
-56.3

18

48

YES

Mixed aerosol and vapor

Mostly Cloudy in AM/Cumulostratus/
Afternoon clearing

Medium Traffic

042001

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
1000

34.7K/
-50.7/
-55.4

15

57

YES

Mixed aerosol and vapor

Cumulostratus early AM/Cumulus Late AM

Light Traffic

042101

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

34.6K/
-52.7/
-60.7

0

38

YES

Vapor in AM/
Heavy Aerosol Activities in PM

Clear in AM/
Increasing Cumulus and Haze Mix in PM

Light Traffic AM/
Heavy Traffic PM

0422

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

33.8K/
-43.3/
-60.3

67

35

NO

No visibility

Full Cloud Cover-Stratus/
Snow

No Traffic Visible

0423

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

35.5K/
-53.9/
-62.9

0

32

YES

YES-Vapor-Early AM
Heavy Aerosol Activities in Late AM-Haze/
Vapor Trails in PM

Clear Skies AM/
Hazy Skies Late AM/
Cumulus and Clearing again in PM

Light Traffic Early AM/
Heavy Traffic Late AM/
Lite Traffic PM

0424

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

34.9K/
-54.1/
-65.1

0

24

YES

YES-vapor

Clear

Light Traffic

0425

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
1000

35.1K/
-52.7/
-60.7

1

37

YES

YES-vapor

Clear

Light Traffic

0426

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

35.0K/
-51.5/
-61.5

10

29

YES

YES-vapor

Heavy Haze to West at Ground Level, Significant Visibility Reduction/
AM:Increasing
Alto-Cumulus/
PM:Cumulus Clouds - Unnatural Feathered Form

Light Traffic

0427

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

35.0K/
-51.7/
-58.7

8

42

YES

YES-vapor trails in AM
Heavy aerosol operations 1130-1300

Mostly Clear in AM-some cumulus clouds/Increasing Cumulus Clouds in Afternoon, Heavy Aerosol Activity 1130-1300
Heavy Rain in Afternoon and Night

Med Traffic in AM/
Heavy Traffic 1130-1300
No visibility from cloud cover in PM

0428

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

34.9K/
-50.1/
-63.1

19

20

Marginal

YES

Vapor Trails AM/
Mostly Clear AM/
Increasing Cumulus Clouds/

Light Traffic AM
Heavy Traffic Late AM

0429

ABQ/
Los Alamos

1200/
0900

35.0K/
-50.5/
-56.5

17

48

YES

Extremely Heavy Aerosol Traffic Dominated Skies All Day

Extremely Heavy Aerosol Traffic:
100+trails from 0900-1130/
Some Cumulus Clouds in AM/
Heavy Haze from Aerosol Activity at Flight Altitude Merged with Heavy Cumulus Cloud Cover in PM

Heavy Traffic

0430

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

34.9K/
-52.1/
-66.1

5

16

YES

YES-Vapor

Clear AM with white haze cast to sky

Light Traffic

0501

ABQ
/Santa Fe

1200/
0900

35.2K/
-49.9/
-61.9

21

22

Marginal

YES-occasional vapor trail
Extremely Heavy Aerosol Traffic 0830-1000
60+Trails

Extremely Heavy Aerosol Traffic in AM/
Heavy Haze at Ground Level and Flight Altitude/Clear skies in PM; insufficient moisture for cloud base

Heavy Aerosol Traffic in AM/
Light Vapor Trail Traffic Throughout Day/
Numerous passes not shown on Flight Explorer in AM

0502

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200
/0900

34.9K/
-51.5/
-63.5

9

22

YES

Mixed Aerosol and Vapor

High Clouds and Haze in AM; Increasing Clouds in PM
Cumulo-Stratus by Late Afternoon

Moderate Traffic

0503

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

34.5K/
-54.1/
-64.1

0

28

YES

Vapor

Cumulus and Haze

Light Traffic

0504

ABQ/
Santa Fe

1200/
0900

34.5K/
-51.9/
-58.9

6

42

YES

No Visibility

Full Cloud Cover/
Some Rain

 

0507

 

 

 

10

33

YES

Vapor

Clear
Occasional Cumulus

Light Traffic

This report is based upon recent research that is attempting to model the conditions that are favorable or unfavorable to aerosol operations. This model and research is to be considered as preliminary, and it will be modified as necessary according to further findings and analysis.

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